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6Regression · Subscriber LTV

Customer Lifetime Value Prediction

What is each subscriber's 24-month value?

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A real-world example

What is each subscriber's 24-month value?

Carriers treat all subscribers with the same retention playbook, spending $200 to save a $35/month subscriber and $200 to save a $120/month family plan. Without accurate LTV, retention spend is misallocated by $40M+ annually. The lifetime value depends not just on the current plan but on household composition, product add-on trajectory, network quality experience, and the subscriber's influence on their social graph (a churned influencer takes 5-10 contacts with them).

How KumoRFM solves this

Graph-learned network intelligence across your entire subscriber base

Kumo connects subscribers, plans, usage trends, payment history, and product add-ons into a graph where LTV propagates through household and social relationships. It learns that subscribers who add a wearable line within 6 months, whose household has 3+ lines, and who refer 2+ new subscribers have 4.5x higher 24-month value. The model captures product adoption velocity, payment reliability signals, and network influence value that flat ARPU projections cannot.

From data to predictions

See the full pipeline in action

Connect your tables, write a PQL query, and get predictions with built-in explainability — all in minutes, not months.

1

Your data

The relational tables Kumo learns from

SUBSCRIBERS

subscriber_idplantenure_monthshousehold_id
SUB401Unlimited Plus18HH001
SUB402Basic 5GB6HH002
SUB403Family Share42HH001

PLANS

plan_idnamemonthly_costtier
PLN01Basic 5GB$35Entry
PLN02Unlimited Plus$75Premium
PLN03Family Share$120Family

USAGE

usage_idsubscriber_idmonthdata_gbintl_min
U401SUB4012025-0222.545
U402SUB4022025-023.10
U403SUB4032025-0218.8120

PAYMENTS

payment_idsubscriber_idamountdateon_time
PAY01SUB401$75.002025-02-01Y
PAY02SUB402$40.002025-02-05N
PAY03SUB403$120.002025-02-01Y

PRODUCTS

product_idsubscriber_idtypeadded_datemonthly_cost
PRD01SUB401Watch line2025-01-15$10
PRD02SUB401Tablet line2024-12-01$15
PRD03SUB403Home internet2024-10-15$50
2

Write your PQL query

Describe what to predict in 2–3 lines — Kumo handles the rest

PQL
PREDICT SUM(PAYMENTS.AMOUNT, 0, 24, months)
FOR EACH SUBSCRIBERS.SUBSCRIBER_ID
3

Prediction output

Every entity gets a score, updated continuously

SUBSCRIBER_IDPLANTENUREPREDICTED_24M_LTV
SUB401Unlimited Plus18mo$2,880
SUB402Basic 5GB6mo$420
SUB403Family Share42mo$4,560
4

Understand why

Every prediction includes feature attributions — no black boxes

Subscriber SUB401 -- Unlimited Plus, 18-month tenure

Predicted: $2,880 predicted 24-month LTV

Top contributing features

Product add-on velocity

2 add-ons in 3 months

28% attribution

Household line count

3 lines (shared HH001)

23% attribution

Payment reliability

100% on-time

19% attribution

Referral network value

Referred 2 subscribers

17% attribution

Usage growth trend

+15% data/month

13% attribution

Feature attributions are computed automatically for every prediction. No separate tooling required. Learn more about Kumo explainability

Bottom line: A carrier that allocates retention spend proportional to predicted 24-month LTV saves $40M annually in misallocated retention budgets while reducing high-value churn by 25%. Kumo factors in household composition, product adoption velocity, and social influence value that flat ARPU projections underestimate by 3x for the most valuable subscribers.

Topics covered

telecom LTV predictionsubscriber lifetime value AIcustomer value forecastingARPU prediction modeltelecom CLV optimizationgraph neural network LTVKumoRFM telecom LTVretention ROI optimizationsubscriber value segmentation

One Platform. One Model. Predict Instantly.

KumoRFM

Relational Foundation Model

Turn structured relational data into predictions in seconds. KumoRFM delivers zero-shot predictions that rival months of traditional data science. No training, feature engineering, or infrastructure required. Just connect your data and start predicting.

For critical use cases, fine-tune KumoRFM on your data using the Kumo platform and Data Science Agent for 30%+ higher accuracy than traditional models.

Book a demo and get a free trial of the full platform: data science agent, fine-tune capabilities, and forward-deployed engineer support.