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5Regression · Supply Chain

Inventory Optimization

How much safety stock does each warehouse need?

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A real-world example

How much safety stock does each warehouse need?

US retailers hold $680B in inventory at any given time (US Census Bureau), with carrying costs averaging 20-30% of inventory value annually. Setting safety stock too high ties up capital and increases spoilage risk. Setting it too low causes stockouts that cost $1T+ globally each year (IHL Group). Traditional safety-stock formulas use a single standard-deviation calculation that ignores supplier reliability differences, seasonal demand spikes, promotional calendars, and cross-warehouse transfer capabilities. A $10B retailer could free $200-400M in working capital by right-sizing safety stock.

How KumoRFM solves this

Relational intelligence built for retail and e-commerce data

Kumo connects SKUs, warehouses, supplier lead times, historical demand variability, promotion schedules, and cross-warehouse transfer times into a relational graph. The model calculates that Warehouse WH-03 needs 1,200 units of SKU-4201 as safety stock because its primary supplier has a 92% on-time rate (vs 99% for WH-01's supplier), demand variance is 2.3x higher due to promotional activity, and the nearest backup warehouse is 4 days away. These relational signals produce safety-stock recommendations that maintain 98.5% service levels while reducing average inventory by 20%.

From data to predictions

See the full pipeline in action

Connect your tables, write a PQL query, and get predictions with built-in explainability — all in minutes, not months.

1

Your data

The relational tables Kumo learns from

WAREHOUSES

warehouse_idnameregioncapacity_unitsstores_served
WH-01Northeast DCNortheast2,400,000120
WH-03West DCWest1,800,00085
WH-05Central DCMidwest2,100,00095

SKU_DEMAND

sku_idwarehouse_idavg_weekly_unitsdemand_std_devseasonality
SKU-4201WH-018,400840Low
SKU-4201WH-036,2001,420High
SKU-4310WH-0112,0001,100Medium

SUPPLIER_PERFORMANCE

supplier_idwarehouse_idon_time_rateavg_lead_daysvariability_days
SUP-12WH-0199.1%3.20.5
SUP-12WH-0392.4%5.12.3
SUP-07WH-0197.8%4.01.0

TRANSFER_NETWORK

from_warehouseto_warehousetransit_dayscost_per_unit
WH-01WH-051.5$0.12
WH-05WH-033.0$0.22
WH-01WH-034.0$0.35
2

Write your PQL query

Describe what to predict in 2–3 lines — Kumo handles the rest

PQL
PREDICT SUM(SKU_DEMAND.AVG_WEEKLY_UNITS, 0, 4, days)
FOR EACH WAREHOUSES.WAREHOUSE_ID, PRODUCTS.SKU_ID
WHERE SKU_DEMAND.SEASONALITY IN ('High', 'Medium')
3

Prediction output

Every entity gets a score, updated continuously

WAREHOUSE_IDSKU_IDSAFETY_STOCK_RECCURRENT_SAFETYCHANGESERVICE_LEVEL
WH-01SKU-42011,6802,100-42098.7%
WH-03SKU-42013,4102,800+61098.5%
WH-01SKU-43102,4202,750-33098.6%
4

Understand why

Every prediction includes feature attributions — no black boxes

SKU-4201 at Warehouse WH-03 (West DC)

Predicted: 3,410 units safety stock recommended (+610 vs current)

Top contributing features

Supplier on-time rate (below threshold)

92.4%

28% attribution

High demand variability

1,420 std dev

25% attribution

Upcoming promotional lift

+65% expected

20% attribution

Nearest backup warehouse distance

4.0 transit days

16% attribution

Seasonal demand peak approaching

Q4 ramp

11% attribution

Feature attributions are computed automatically for every prediction. No separate tooling required. Learn more about Kumo explainability

Bottom line: Reduce average inventory by 20% while maintaining 98.5% service levels, freeing $200-400M in working capital for a $10B retailer.

Topics covered

inventory optimization AIsafety stock predictionwarehouse stock optimizationsupply chain AI retailgraph neural network inventoryKumoRFMrelational deep learning supply chainservice level optimizationcarrying cost reductioninventory analytics retail

One Platform. One Model. Predict Instantly.

KumoRFM

Relational Foundation Model

Turn structured relational data into predictions in seconds. KumoRFM delivers zero-shot predictions that rival months of traditional data science. No training, feature engineering, or infrastructure required. Just connect your data and start predicting.

For critical use cases, fine-tune KumoRFM on your data using the Kumo platform and Data Science Agent for 30%+ higher accuracy than traditional models.

Book a demo and get a free trial of the full platform: data science agent, fine-tune capabilities, and forward-deployed engineer support.